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  • Fantasy Basketball Trade Tips: Invest in Mitchell, move on from Poole

    Injuries, injuries and more injuries have been a common theme in the NBA this season. We’ve already seen teams lose multiple stars, which has a ripple effect across the fantasy landscape. One way to help your team stay afloat through injuries is to make trades. Let’s talk about some players you should buy low, sell high or hold based on their early start.

    Purchase

    Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers

    Mitchell averaged at least 26.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists in each of his first two seasons with the Cavaliers. He is below all of those numbers this season, averaging 23.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists. His points didn’t drop because of a lack of efficiency. He is shooting 46.8% from the field, including a career-high 41.0% from beyond the arc.

    The reason for the drop in Mitchell’s numbers is because he only averaged 31 minutes per game. He averaged at least 35 minutes each of the last two seasons. The Cavaliers have blown out teams en route to a 12-0 start, meaning they haven’t had to force Mitchell to play much on some nights. His usage rate is still 31.4%, which is the same as his mark from last season. With the Cavaliers playing closer games, Mitchell should spend more time on the floor. While he isn’t exactly struggling, this may be the lowest point of his fantasy value on the season.

    Trey Murphy III, New Orleans Pelicans

    Pelicans

    Injuries, injuries and more injuries have been a common theme in the NBA this season. We’ve already seen teams lose multiple stars, which has a ripple effect across the fantasy landscape. One way to help your team stay afloat through injuries is to make trades. Let’s talk about some players you should buy low, sell high or hold based on their early start.

    Purchase

    Donovan Mitchell, Cleveland Cavaliers

    Mitchell averaged at least 26.6 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists in each of his first two seasons with the Cavaliers. He is below all of those numbers this season, averaging 23.7 points, 3.4 rebounds and 3.7 assists. His points didn’t drop because of a lack of efficiency. He is shooting 46.8% from the field, including a career-high 41.0% from beyond the arc.

    The reason for the drop in Mitchell’s numbers is because he only averaged 31 minutes per game. He averaged at least 35 minutes each of the last two seasons. The Cavaliers have blown out teams en route to a 12-0 start, meaning they haven’t had to force Mitchell to play much on some nights. His usage rate is still 31.4%, which is the same as his mark from last season. With the Cavaliers playing closer games, Mitchell should spend more time on the floor. While he isn’t exactly struggling, this may be the lowest point of his fantasy value on the season.

    Trey Murphy III, New Orleans Pelicans

    The Pelicans were absolutely decimated by injuries. Things got even worse for them on Tuesday, with Jose Alvarado (hamstring) potentially out for about six weeks. He joined Zion Williamson (hamstring), Dejounte Murray (arm), CJ McCollum (thigh), Herbert Jones (shoulder) and Jordan Hawkins (back) on the sidelines.

    One of the few bright spots for the Pelicans is that Murphy made his season debut on Monday after sitting out the first 10 games. He played only 26 minutes, recorded 12 points, five rebounds, two blocks and two triples. As he continues to return to form, he should become one of the focal points of their offense. Try trading for him now before he starts producing screaming scoring and three-pointers.

    Sales

    Jordan Poole, Washington Wizards

    Poole has scored more points for fantasy managers this season, averaging 20.0 points and 3.3 three-pointers per game. He is shooting 42.6 percent from the field, which is pretty close to his percentage from last season. Still, he’s shooting 41.7% from behind the arc, up from 32.6% last year.

    As encouraging as Pool’s start to the season has been, it’s hard to get too excited about his progression. He still only averages 30 minutes per game because the Wizards are often left out. He’s also never finished a season shooting higher than 36.4% from beyond the arc, so he should be in line for a significant decline in that department. Kyle Kuzma is also back from injury, so the Wizards don’t have to rely as much on Pool to score. Now is the time to put out the trade offers and see if anyone is willing to overpay for Poole in a trade for his hot three-point shooting.

    AND Anunoby, New York Knicks

    Anunoby doesn’t have crazy stats with his averages of 16.4 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.6 assists. However, his averages of 1.6 steals and 2.2 triples are a valuable combination. He’s still a reliable shooter from beyond the arc, making 41.5% of his three-point attempts this season.

    The reason to consider selling Anunoby high is his injury history. He hasn’t played at least 70 games in a season since his rookie campaign. Although he hasn’t missed a game this season, it’s scary that a player with his injury history is averaging 37 minutes per game. With the lack of talent on the bench, don’t expect the Knicks to cut Anunoby’s minutes anytime soon. It’s hard to imagine him lasting an entire season with that kind of heavy workload.

    Hold on

    Norman Powell, Los Angeles Clippers

    Powell averaged just 26 minutes in each of his first two full seasons with the Clippers. Now that Paul George is gone, the Clippers need more from Powell this season. He responded by averaging 26.0 points and 4.2 3-pointers in 34 minutes per game. While his 50.5 percent three-point shooting probably won’t hold up, he shot 39.9 percent from deep in his career.

    Not only is Powell playing more, but his usage rate has increased from 20.0% last season to 26.6% this season. The Clippers don’t have a huge roster and there has been no positive update on the status of Kawhi Leonard (knee). The Clippers need Powell to make big plays and make a ton of shots. Powell doesn’t need to sell high right now. He should remain a reliable source of points and 3-pointers going forward.

    Jrue Holiday, Boston Celtics

    Holiday took a big hit in scoring during his first season with the Celtics, which translated to him averaging just 12.5 points per game this season. However, his overall lack of production in other departments this season has been surprising. After averaging 5.4 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 0.9 steals last season, Holiday is averaging 3.8 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 0.3 steals per game this season.

    Holiday has never averaged less than 0.9 steals per game in a season in his career, so his output in that department should increase soon. He also has seven straight seasons in which he averaged at least 4.5 rebounds and 4.8 assists. The Celtics have been involved in a lot of uneven scoring out of the gate, which has resulted in Holiday averaging two minutes less per game than last season. His playing time should increase shortly, so look for him to improve his counting stats. Don’t panic and exchange it with a discount.

    #Fantasy #Basketball #Trade #Tips #Invest #Mitchell #move #Poole

  • Fantasy Football Trade Analyzer: 5 players to target, 5 to deal ahead of deadline

    With Yahoo’s default fantasy football trade deadline set for Saturday, Nov. 16, now is the time to optimize your rosters for a potential playoff run. In the final trade article of the year, Sal Vetri lays out five players you should target in trades and five players you might consider moving while their value is high.

    The entire Bears offense struggled in Week 10. Chicago averaged just 3.9 yards per play Sunday against the Patriots defense. That bad day hurt everyone, including Swift, who managed just 65 yards and no touchdowns in Week 10. But the good news was that Swift still had a strong role to play. He played 68% of the snaps and posted 17 touchdowns in that game. Swift has now scored 17 or more touchdowns in six straight games.

    Now is the time to get a bargain at Swift. In Week 10, Swift scored 14 or more points in five straight games, including four games of 100+ yards and a touchdown. There is a possibility that the Bears will change the play caller, and if that happens, it could shake up the backfield usage. But that would just be looking at the weaknesses. There is also an outcome where the new play caller helps fix this offense and continues to feature Swift. Swift is a buy-low before facing the Packers’ 24th-ranked defense in Week 11, according to PFF. If you can, trade someone like Tony Pollard or Darnell Mooney for Swift.

    Stevenson continues to see one of the best roles in football in the final month of the season. In the last three games since recovering, Stevenson has played 75% of the Patriots’ snaps and averaged 20 snaps per game. That’s a quietly powerful use for the Patriot’s three-down back. Stevenson recently took over the long-distance job from Antonio Gibson, according to Fantasy Life. Stevenson has run almost five times as many courses as Gibson in the past three weeks.

    Stevenson is coming off a bad week, going 77 yards with no scores on 21 touches. But that ineffective day opened a window for him to buy low. The Patriots’ offense hasn’t been sexy for most of the season, but Drake Maye has given them life. He leads sustained drives that get into the red zone more often than Jacoby Brissett. That helped Stevenson, who finished in the top 10 twice in four games with Maye. Stevenson faces strong matchups against the Rams, Colts and Cardinals. Try signing Calvin Ridley or Jakobi Meyers for Stevenson.

    Nabers had a relatively quiet last month of the season. He hasn’t topped 75 receiving yards or 15 fantasy yards since Week 4, despite some great games against the Commanders and Panthers in that stretch. Naber is coming off another slump where he scored just eight fantasy points against the Panthers in Germany. But it’s hard to put all the blame on Nabers; Daniel Jones completed less than 60% of his passes in Week 10 and now ranks 30th in QB efficiency this season according to Player Profiler.

    The good news for Nabers is that his target range has remained elite. Nabers has earned 10+ targets in six of his last seven games and has had at least seven targets in every game this season. Nabers still ranks first in expected fantasy points (that’s how good his role is), but he ranks second in unrealized air yards because Jones struggles to complete passes downfield. Poor QB play creates an opportunity to buy low on Naber. Right now is the time to attack as Nabers enters a bye week and will face the Bucs in Week 12. The Bucs are allowing the second most passing yards per game this season. Try trading George Pickens or James Conner for Nabers while you still can.

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    Metcalf is coming off a bye week and is likely to return this week from a knee injury. Metcalf sat out the Seahawks last two games with that injury. That, along with his bye week in Week 10, opened up a nice window to buy low on Metcalf. Metcalf stars in an offense that currently throws 41 times per game, the third most in the NFL, and let’s not forget how dominant his role has been this season. Despite not playing a game the last three weeks, Metcalf still ranks sixth in explosive plays and first in deep targets of 20+ yards, according to Player Profiler.

    Metcalf is a true alpha receiver and his schedule for the rest of the season is strong. In the next four games, he will face the Cardinals secondary and a struggling Jets defense twice. Submit a trade offer for Metcalf before he returns in Week 11. Trade Jayden Reed or Marvin Harrison Jr. if you can. for Metcalf.

    Cooper has been a frustrating player on the roster the past few weeks. He was inactive for the last two Sundays, although he participated in training all week. Cooper was last seen in Week 8, when he posted just one catch for three yards before injuring his wrist against the Seahawks. There’s a good chance you can get Cooper at a discount right now, especially given his tough Week 11 matchup against the Chiefs.

    Cooper is shopping hard right now because the Bills and Josh Allen desperately need him. Allen has struggled the past two weeks without Cooper. In Week 9, Allen averaged just six yards per attempt, his second-worst of the year. In Week 10, Allen had a softer game against the Colts, but still struggled, completing less than 60% of his passes. Expect Cooper to immediately perform as the team’s top receiver when healthy. Now is the time to trade for him before his potential return in Week 11. Trade Kareem Hunt for Cooper if you can. Speaking of which…

    Hunt has been one of the best quarterbacks in fantasy since taking over the Chiefs backfield in Week 5. He earned 58% of the snaps during that stretch and averaged a whopping 23.5 chances per game. As of Week 5, Hunt ranks fifth in fantasy points per game among all RBs. During that time, he produced better fantasy production than Saquon Barkley, Alvin Kamara and Kyren Williams. This is all great; Hunt has been a league winner for his fantasy managers, but now it’s time to trade him.

    Isiah Pacheco is close to returning for the Chiefs. He is expected to return to training in the next one to two weeks. Pacheco could be back on the field by Week 13, meaning you may only have one or two more games of Hunt seeing a starring role for the Chiefs. Hunt has been through this season in a big way; his efficiency remains poor, averaging just 3.7 yards per carry. Now is a good time to sell high on Hunt after his 100 yards and seven catches in Week 10. Try splitting it away for Jakobi Meyers or Ladd McConkey.

    Harrison is coming off a quality performance where he averaged 13.9 fantasy points on five targets. He has now produced a serviceable fantasy week in two of his last three games. That opened up a nice window to sell high to the Cardinals’ first-round rookie.

    Over his last five contests, Harrison is averaging just five targets per game and ranks 48th in points per game by a wide receiver. TE Trey McBride leads the team in target share during that stretch, and Harrison has been typecast as a mostly undersized, up-or-down receiver. He ranks seventh in deep targets, but many of those are elusive as he ranks 57th in catchable targets this season, according to Player Profiler. Now is the time to sell Harrison if you can. Try trading him for DeVonto Smith or George Pickens.

    Irving has been great this season. He might be the most exciting returner to watch every week. Irving ranks second in breakaway rate and top 10 in explosive run rate. He’s a fantastic player and he’s coming off a great performance with 87 total yards on 16 carries against the 49ers.

    Irving now enters his bye week. In fact, he also has a strong schedule, taking on the Giants, Panthers and Raiders. I can understand if you’d rather hide it, but there’s one big problem.

    Irving still works behind Rachaad White.

    In Week 10, White played 59% of the Bucs’ snaps and completed 100% of the goal-line shots and 100% of the two-minute offensive snaps. That limits Irving’s upside. His fantasy value right now depends on him making explosive plays at high speed. If I could deal Irving for Jakobi Meyers or Brian Robinson Jr., I would.

    This one might surprise you, but now is a good time to test the market on trading Samuel Sr. He had a nice game in Week 10, going 76 yards with no scores on eight touches. It goes without saying that Samuel is a rare and elite talent, but this 49ers offense now has a lot of weapons.

    Christian McCaffrey returned in Week 10 and immediately earned 20 carries, and George Kittle continued his strong season with 57 yards and a touchdown on Sunday. But the more important takeaways from Week 10 come from the 49ers’ wide receiver usage. Jauan Jennings acted as the X team’s receiver. It was Brandon Aiyuk’s old role, and it led to Jennings leading the team with 93 yards on 11 carries. Freshman Ricky Pearsall also contributed with 73 yards and a score on six carries. Samuel’s production may not be as consistent as we once thought with the increased involvement of Jennings and Pearsall. If you can offer Samuel for DK Metcalf or James Cook, you should.

    Ekeler has been great in place of Brian Robinson Jr. the past two weeks. He has managed to average 14 carries over the last two games and has scored three touchdowns in that span. But Ekeler hasn’t just been productive in the last two contests, he’s been good all year. Ekeler has scored 10+ fantasy points in seven of his nine games and is quietly leading the NFL with a 6.8 yards per touchdown average.

    Ekeler is a strong piece of the roster, but there is potential to upgrade him to a weekly fantasy starter. Brian Robinson Jr. is leaning toward playing in Week 11, so now is the time to trade Ekeler after his season-high 17.6 points in Week 10. Try trading him for Courtland Sutton or Romeo Doubs if you can.

    #Fantasy #Football #Trade #Analyzer #players #target #deal #ahead #deadline