It’s a simple goal for fantasy managers – to get where the points are. Identify the NFL’s juiciest offenses and take as many of their players as possible.
Now that we’re in the middle of November, it’s a good time to take stock of the offenses we trust and those we don’t. Here’s how I view all 32 teams in terms of the fantasy value they offer collectively.
All fantasy weekly ratings are from FantasyPros using half-point PPR scoring.
No, they are not the best team in the NFL or even the NFC. They might not even win their division. But Christian McCaffrey is immediately back to cash cow status, and Jauan Jennings is already a WR2 for fantasy purposes, settling into the X role vacated by Brandon Aiyuk.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (5)
Jalen Hurts has become unfair with his success on the goal line, and there is more than enough left for Saquon Barkley, AJ Brown and DeVonto Smith.
3. Baltimore Ravens (7)
It’s hard to believe this is Derrick Henry’s age 30 season; he’s second in broken tackles and second in yards per contact (to be fair, there’s some double counting when you mention both stats). And the trend of Henry’s career shows that he usually gets better by the season. The Ravens have been slow to onboard Diontae Johnson, and even with Johnson getting more snaps, this passing game has several other legitimate options. I wouldn’t blame anyone who interrupted Johnson.
4. Detroit Lions (1)
The backfield has two easy games, but Amon-Ra St. Brown was the only constant in the passing game downfield. Jameson Williams is their x-factor, the guy who blossomed.
5. Cincinnati Bengals (10)
The Bengals are the overwhelming leader in pass completion rate above expectations, so Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase are poised to change fantasy seasons. Chase Brown will also make an impact; Acquiring Khalil Herbert was just a depth play.
6. Buffalo Bills (2)
We’ve been wondering all summer who the right answer is in the pass-catching room. But sometimes there are no right answers.
7. Minnesota Vikings (4)
Sam Darnold consistently pushes the ball downfield and most of his passing metrics are well above league average. However, he falls short in two critical areas – his sack and interception rates are below code. When you can’t avoid downside plays, you’re playing with limited upside. Kevin O’Connell is a dream playmaker, but eventually Darnold’s error-prone nature will wear this team down.
8. Green Bay Packers (6)
Green Bay passing pie always smells good, but this pie is cut into several pieces. Jayden Reed, Romeo Doubs, Dontayvion Wicks, Tucker Kraft and Christian Watson are all between 39 and 47 targets. Jordan Love has increased his touchdown rate and YPA this year, but he’s also seen a big jump in interceptions.
9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8)
If strength of schedule is one of your concepts, the Buccaneers could be your team. Tampa Bay has faced the toughest schedule in football to this point, and now it’s the easiest step forward. The Cowboys and Panthers await in the final two weeks of the fantasy playoffs.
10. Seattle Seahawks (9)
The Seahawks finally unlocked Jaxon-Smith Njibo, but the offense isn’t the same without DK Metcalf. Give Seattle credit for continuing to roll — they play at the second-fastest pace in the league.
11. Atlanta Falcons (10)
Kirk Cousins has gone ballistic in his two starts against Tampa Bay. He has a QB20 average in other starts this year. For some reason, the Falcons gave Tyler Allgeier three straight touchdown passes last week — all unsuccessful — before Bijan Robinson finished the job.
12. Arizona Cardinals (14)
Could they get some consistency from Kyler Murray? Consider his weekly finishes: QB15, QB1, QB17, QB24, QB5, QB25, QB5, QB12, QB30, QB4. James Conner has been the most underrated player in football for several years now.
13. LA Rams (28)
In most rankings, Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are close together each week, but Nacua’s edge is higher when you consider how often the Rams favor him in transition.
14. Kansas City Chiefs (17)
Travis Kelce did very little the first three weeks and Rashee Rice was injured in Week 3. Kelce since then: TE5, TE7, TE30, TE4, TE3, TE1. The original plan was to save Kelce more for the playoffs, but plans have to be flexible when you hit a hole.
15. Washington Commanders (11)
Jayden Daniels was everything we dreamed of, and Terry McLaurin’s long-awaited career season was glorious. But surprisingly, there is no other receiver on this list who hits home runs.
16. Houston Texans (15)
Joe Mixon has five 100-yard games and eight touchdowns and has survived despite Houston’s poor offensive line. Nico Collins is desperately needed back to fix the passing game downfield, but John Metchie III’s Week 10 breakout might be a bit sticky.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers (19)
The Steelers have the lowest pass completion rate in the league, meaning Najee Harris is an automatic fantasy starter this year and Jaylen Warren is something of a stretch. George Pickens has WR3 and WR5 rankings in his last three starts, obviously better now that Russell Wilson is Pittsburgh’s starter. Note that Pittsburgh has played an easy schedule to this point; it’s about to get a lot harder.
18. Miami Dolphins (25)
Tua Tagovailoa came back, but it wasn’t much fun: QB22, QB19, QB22. The Dolphins don’t trust their offensive line and are concerned about Tua’s health, which shows in the play calling.
19. Indianapolis Colts (20)
The Colts have played the 11th-toughest schedule through the first 10 weeks, but face the third-easiest slate from that point forward. So it’s a good time to go back to Anthony Richardson, although that’s not the best news for anyone holding tickets to that WR room.
20. LA Chargers (27)
The Chargers will never be a proactive passing team, but Justin Herbert’s efficiency stats are dreamy. As we wind through a busy offseason, Quentin Johnston and Ladd McConkey are both worthy of attention. TE Will Dissly too.
21. Denver Broncos (31)
Audric Estimé was rightfully hounded in the free agent pool this week, a two-down rookie in Denver. But he had a limited receiving profile in college and has yet to catch a pass in the NFL, so understand we’re talking limited upside. Courtland Sutton is starting to click with Bo Nix, going WR7 and WR7 the last two weeks.
22. Chicago Bears (21)
Chicago’s offensive line is clearly a problem, but remember that sacks are more of a quarterback stat than an offensive line stat. Caleb Williams holds the ball too long without departing OC Shane Waldron doing him any favors. Chicago has played the second-easiest schedule to this point; in football the hardest thing is to move on.
23. NY Jets (22)
The coaches were fired. Playing cards have changed hands. Signature deals were concluded. There are no more cards to play. He folds his hand.
24. Jacksonville Jaguars (23)
There’s nothing really wrong with Tank Bigsby, but the situation around him is falling apart. Trevor Lawrence is not healthy, the team is losing games, too many game scripts are getting out of hand. The Jaguars don’t use Bigsby much in the passing game and Travis Etienne Jr. is back as well. Therefore, Bigsby could rightfully be demoted in some leagues right now.
25. NY Giants (24)
No one sees Drew Lock as a savior, but Daniel Jones probably deserves the bench when the Giants return from business. Tyrone Tracy Jr. pushed Devin Singletary out of the way, which is notable when you consider Singletary’s history with head coach Brian Daboll.
26. Las Vegas Raiders (26)
Jakobi Meyers and Brock Bowers are fantasy, so is Alexander Mattison if you want some empty messenger. But there are no real answers in this quarterback room, and the Raiders’ defense has also been stomped on most weeks.
27. Cleveland Browns (30)
I hope Jameis Winston beats New Orleans this week because this fantasy offense is much more interesting with Winston than Dorian Thompson-Robinson. Last three games for Cedric Tillman: WR14, WR3, WR12. Cedric the Entertainer.
28. Tennessee Titans (29)
Calvin Ridley has shown he can produce with both guards, so welcome back to the Circle of Trust. Tony Pollard plays gallantly every week despite injuries keeping him out of training; watch out for Tyjae Spears.
29. New Orleans Saints (12)
Their remarkable 2-0 start seems like 15 years ago. Alvin Kamara has been fantasy royalty all year, but his heavy workload is concerning given his stature and career resume.
30. New England Patriots (32)
Drake Maye checks it all: athletic, competitive, precise. The average offensive line in front of him didn’t hold him back much. Rhamondre Stevenson has been a credible RB21 through the opening 10 weeks.
31. Dallas Cowboys (13)
It’s not fun to get pulled over for a foul, but we have no choice. Of course you play CeeDee Lamb and maybe hold your nose and use Rico Dowdle. Jake Ferguson plays tight end, so you might be stuck there. But this offense probably doesn’t stand a chance with Cooper Rush and Trey Lance.
32. Carolina Panthers (18)
Chuba Hubbard was one of the fantasy steals of the year, but he’s the only player on the list. Imagine what Hubbard could do if he could face his defense, the biggest prize in the league.
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